Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.031541 0.033916 0.036290 0.038838 0.041492 0.044171 0.047076
2025-09-14 0.026408 0.030132 0.033983 0.038248 0.042823 0.047568 0.052848
2025-09-21 0.023107 0.027551 0.032262 0.037595 0.043430 0.049591 0.056559
2025-09-28 0.020339 0.025246 0.030565 0.036701 0.043532 0.050853 0.059244
2025-10-05 0.019202 0.024619 0.030593 0.037588 0.045476 0.054024 0.063918
2025-10-12 0.017936 0.023730 0.030230 0.037949 0.046757 0.056399 0.067657
2025-10-19 0.016497 0.022540 0.029436 0.037739 0.047326 0.057922 0.070398
2025-10-26 0.015984 0.022400 0.029820 0.038848 0.049364 0.061073 0.074943
2025-11-02 0.015039 0.021678 0.029468 0.039058 0.050334 0.062985 0.078069
2025-11-09 0.014005 0.020789 0.028871 0.038935 0.050881 0.064385 0.080589
2025-11-16 0.013106 0.020019 0.028376 0.038897 0.051497 0.065839 0.083149
2025-11-23 0.012101 0.019062 0.027609 0.038496 0.051651 0.066734 0.085045
2025-11-30 0.011140 0.018177 0.026969 0.038312 0.052155 0.068150 0.087692
2025-12-07 0.010019 0.017037 0.025984 0.037696 0.052148 0.068990 0.089709
2025-12-14 0.008992 0.015955 0.025017 0.037050 0.052062 0.069699 0.091540
2025-12-21 0.007959 0.014799 0.023898 0.036165 0.051640 0.069976 0.092835
2025-12-28 0.007691 0.014710 0.024173 0.037044 0.053387 0.072844 0.097194
2026-01-04 0.007251 0.014343 0.024055 0.037401 0.054474 0.074913 0.100599
2026-01-11 0.006644 0.013691 0.023520 0.037193 0.054836 0.076089 0.102932
2026-01-18 0.006526 0.013770 0.023985 0.038292 0.056843 0.079269 0.107668
2026-01-25 0.006122 0.013384 0.023786 0.038501 0.057713 0.081055 0.110729
2026-02-01 0.005643 0.012848 0.023353 0.038379 0.058148 0.082299 0.113130
2026-02-08 0.005223 0.012379 0.022995 0.038341 0.058679 0.083652 0.115657